Insights into events shaping up the future of technology
Ronald Gruia

Besides authoring this blog, Ronald is a Senior Strategic Analyst with Frost & Sullivan. Comments are open and unmoderated, although obscene or abusive remarks may be deleted. Opinions expressed by Ronald are his own and do not necessarily reflect the views of his employer.

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Ronald Gruia
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View Article  A Cool Way to Spice Up a Blog

From Ross Rader's Random Bytes blog, here is an interesting way to make a major splash on a weblog by adding voice to it.  Ross was excited about this new functionality from Audioblog.com (he actually tried giving a demo during his talk about blogs at VON Canada last week, but the computer system was not equipped with multimedia). He signed up for the account ($5/month) and showed it around at his workplace as well, where his boss (Elliot Noss) also testdrove the system: 

I copied the above from his site, since I was curious to see how it worked, and now, I am pretty impressed with the quality (I wonder if they are using some sort of wideband CODEC like G.722, since the voice quality is pretty good).

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View Article  First VON Canada Show Held in Toronto

Pulver.com held its first ever edition of the VON show in Canada this past week.  Having attended US editions of the show that counted with heavyweights such as Henry Sinnreich (the father of SIP), Robert Pepper (Chief of Policy Development of the FCC), Eugene Roman (Group President for Bell Canada), Christopher Fine (VP, Global Investment Research Division for Goldman Sachs), and others, I would have to admit that the first VON Canada was a bit thin on high impact speakers.

However, to be fair to Jeff Pulver, Carl Ford, and the rest of the crew, it was still an amazing feat to accomplish what they did in such a short period of time (I counted less than 7 calendar weeks since the end of Spring VON, held in San Jose, which was a major success).  Moreover, they also needed to overcome the wait-and-see cautious approach predominant within the Canadian telecom industry.  The reason for that is the pending outcome of the CRTC ruling on VoIP, which has been discussed at length here and in other forums, such as Jeff's own blog.  I suspect this reluctance in making public statements regarding VoIP definitely overhung a bit this show. 

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View Article  Bill Gates Raises Blogging Awareness at the 2004 Microsoft CEO Summit

This past week went by quickly, but a lot of my time was spent at VON Canada, Jeff Pulver's famous conference which held its first ever Canadian edition of the show (more about interesting happenings at this event in another entry).  Hence, Technology Futurist could not keep up with the flurry of activity during this eventful week.

One noteworthy development was Bill Gates' comments on blogging technology this part Thursday.  In his keynote speech delivered at the 2004 Microsoft CEO Summit, Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates told some of the world's biggest moguls about the blog phenomenon.  The annual gathering at the Microsoft Redmond campus brings together distinguished business leaders such as Jeff Bezos, Warren Buffett, Michael Dell, Barry Diller, Carly Fiorina, Gerald Grinstein and Stephen Riggio, among others.

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View Article  SpaceShipOne Successfully Completes Third Test

SpaceShipOne, a privately financed passenger carrying sub-orbital RLV (Reusable Launch Vehicle) flew its third powered flight this past Thursday over the Mojave Desert in California.  The vehicle reached an altitude of roughly 65 kilometers during the flight, the highest peak achieved to date.  Some observers believe that Spaceship one will be ready for sub-orbital flights later this summer.   

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View Article  Intel Introduces New Processor Family

Giant silicon vendor Intel (NYSE: INTC) introduced last Monday in San Francisco a line of three enhanced Pentium M processors geared towards laptop computers.  What's new about this product family is that it is built with a 90-nanometer production process instead of the 130-nanometer process used in older Pentium M devices.  This new technology enables Intel to achieve better economies of scale.  The new chipset family also allows Intel to create chips consuming less power while offering greater performance. 

When ordering quantities in bulk (i.e. 1,000 or more), the processors cost about $294 (for the M 735), $423(for the 745) and $637 (for the M 775).  According to a CNET article, Intel had originally planned the launch to be in February, but a glitch postponed that until this past Monday.  The Pentium M processor is code-named Dothan.

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View Article  Chronicle 200: Is There a Tech Rebound on the Horizon?

The San Francisco Chronicle released on Monday its annual Chronicle 200 list of the top 200 Bay Area companies.  The list, compiled with the help of FactSet Research Systems is pretty comprehensive, including information such as market cap, sales, and profits, among other data points.

The 2003 results that were just in, show an encouraging sign: the top 200 Bay Area companies amassed $32.7 billion worth of profits in 2003, versus a combined loss of $8.8 billion in 2002.  As a result, their market cap increased by roughly 60 percent.

Many hi-tech companies from areas such as biotechnology, computing and the Internet, were strong performers in 2003.  The criteria that the Chronicle uses to measure performance is: revenue growth, profit growth, market cap and return to investors.  The region's economic diversity is illustrated by a sample of these top 2003 performers, which include the likes of SanDisk (memory cards), Genetech (biopharmaceuticals), Juniper Networks (networking equipment), AMD (microchips) and Yahoo!, among others.

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View Article  Sasser Virus Creator Caught

Breaking news from Reuters in Europe confirms that German police have caught an 18-year old man suspected of being the author of the Sasser virus.  What made Sasser unique was the fact that it was a worm virus not transmitted in the usual ways such as e-mail, MS Office documents, pif or exe file attachments. 

Rather, Sasser was a network-aware worm that exploits a known Microsoft vulnerability and programmed to spread and knock out computer networks, without necessarily stealing information from machines it infected.  The virus spread itself by scanning randomly chosen IP addresses and checking for machines running Microsoft operating systems such as Windows 2000 and XP that have not been patched to secure the TCP ports being attacked.

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View Article  VeriSign Launches Cable Industry VoIP Solution

During the NCTA 2004 National Show, held earlier this week in New Orleans, VeriSign (NASDAQ: VRSN) introduced its MSO-IP Connect VoIP routing service.  The NCTA (National Cable & Telecommunications Association) is the main trade association of the American cable TV industry.  The NCTA National Show is an annual trade event which serves as a national showcase for the cable industry's newest innovations, including technologies such as voice over cable (local telephone service), HDTV, iTV, etc. 

The VeriSign launch is significant because it represents a glimpse into the future of voice over cable - many other players are expected to follow suit.  Using ENUM technology, the company offers to interconnect the broadband IP networks of cable service providers, thereby enabling subscriber-to-subscriber calls to remain on the cable network and never actually traverse the PSTN (Public Switched Telephone Network).

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View Article  Nokia Leaves the WiMAX Forum

News from Europe today revealed that Finnish wireless telecom equipment vendor Nokia (NYSE:NOK) has decided to pull out of the WiMAX Forum.  The WiMAX Forum is an industry alliance geared towards certifying interoperability and promoting development of WiMAX products and technologies. 

Nokia chose not to renew its membership dues with the organization, and although that was downplayed by some other WiMAX Forum participants, it was nevertheless a bit surprising, since Nokia was one of the original founding members.

Despite the active involvement by some powerhouses like Intel (NYSE: INTC), which have pledged to develop WiMAX silicon, a lot of work remains to be solved by the IEEE 802.16 committee that has been working on the WiMAX standard.  One issue being worked on is the ability to roam freely between cells and to maintain online access while in motion (a sub-committee, 802.16e is focused on solving the problem).

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View Article  Broadcom Eases WLAN Security Setup

Chipset manufacturer Broadcom is bundling software with its WLAN silicon that will automatically configure and turn on security features, easing a lot of end-user headaches. 

Despite the progresses made in wireless LAN security technology, rogue access points and other hacking techniques to get unauthorized access to 802.11 networks still are one of the top restraints for growth in the WLAN market. 

As soon as Broadcom's SecureEZSetup software on the client senses a new wireless AP (Access Point), it launches a wizard that automatically sets up security and reboots the AP on secure mode.  The security protocol used is WPA (Wi-Fi Protected Access)   more »

View Article  Latest Info on Google Developments

For those of you tracking down the latest Google developments, there is a blog fully devoted to the most popular search engine on the Internet: Google Weblog.  There, you can find the most recent information, including some gossip from a Google temp worker

The above report was mentioned in a news story that appeared on Investor's Business Daily Internet site, Investors.com.  There has been a lot of articles since Google decided to go public with its IPO decision via its SEC filing.  The company is seeking US$2.7 billion with help from Credit Suisse First Boston and Morgan Stanley.

It has been also reported that the above Wall Street firms will be using a Dutch-style auction, similar to the type pioneered by San Francisco-based W.R. Hambrecht.

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View Article  VoIP Regarded as a Hot Sector by Star VC Firm

Technology Review has an interesting interview with Michael Moritz, general partner at Sequoia Capital, a star VC (Venture Capital) firm based in Menlo Park, CA.

The interview offers fascinating insights in the exciting VC world, including the difficulties in making the right bets in startup companies.  As Mr. Moritz puts it, "The venture business is the ultimate humbling experience".  It is fascinating to hear this statement come from a gentleman who has enjoyed a lot of success by investing in companies such as Yahoo! and Google.

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View Article  DNA Computers Can Be Used in the War Against Cancer

In a previous article, I mentioned the DNA computer research carried out by the Weizmann Institute of Science in Rehovot, Israel. As a follow-up, Nature, a distinguished British scientific journal, had a story about how a DNA computer can be used in to fight cancer in its April 29 issue.

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View Article  Leonardo Da Vinci: Great Renaissance Genius... and Car Designer

My wife sent me today an interesting link from the Daily Telegraph (a UK newspaper), which had an interesting story about Da Vinci being credited with envisioning a futuristic vehicle, which was hailed as the first self-propelling car ever designed.

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View Article  Music Lawsuits Continue...

On my way back home after the trip South of the border, I came across a CNN story about the growing number of lawsuits by the music industry against users violating the artists' copyrights.

The numbers are incredible:  477 more computer users sued yesterday, bringing the total number of actions filed to 2,454 lawsuits.  Out of those, 437 cases have reached a typical settlement of a $3,000 one time payment.

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View Article  Blogging Live from Washington, D.C. - About Cold Fusion...

I've been suffering from e-mail withdrawal syndrome for the past couple of days - no Internet or way to check my e-mails or even worse, update this blog.  All of this due to a short vacation trip to Washington, D.C. to show the US capital to my wife and visit the family and some dear friends.

One recent noteworthy story that I came across was cold fusion.  Jeff Hecht wrote an interesting article on the Technology Review web site about the subject - it is a must read. 

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View Article  Technology Review Releases 2004 Patent Review Scorecard

Technology Review, a prestigious publication from MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), released the 2004 edition of its Patent Review Scorecard, an annual ranking of patents in eight high-tech sectors, including:

  • Aerospace
  • Automotive
  • Biotechnology / Pharmaceuticals
  • Chemicals
  • Computers
  • Electronics
  • Semiconductors
  • Telecommunications

The research shows that despite the economic slowdown, most high-tech companies remained committed to their R&D investments.  One such example of strong support of research even during tough times are telecom giants Lucent (NASDAQ: LU), Motorola (NYSE: MOT), Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERICY) and Nortel (NYSE: NT), which maintained in 2003 their respective average ranks from 1998 to 2002.

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View Article  New Drug Therapy For Asbestos-Related Cancer Approved by the FDA

Earlier this year, the U.S. FDA (Food and Drug Administration) approved the only drug cocktail that has been proven to help patients with asbestos-related cancer to live longer.

A combination of Alimta (a new drug recently introduced by Eli Lilly & Company), Cisplatin (a standard chemotherapy agent) and daily doses of folic acid and vitamin B12 has been shown to prolong the life of patients suffering of malignant pleural mesothelioma (a cancer of the lining of the lungs, often attributed to asbestos exposure).

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View Article  NASA Launch of the Gravity Probe B Satellite a Success

After a 24-hour delay, the launch of the satellite that will test elements of Einstein's Theory of Relativity was a success.  The Gravity Probe B (GP-B) blasted off an oceanside pad at Vandenberg AFB aboard a Delta II rocket.  The satellite separated from the rocket 75 minutes later and that marked the start of an 18-month mission to validate Einstein's predictions about space and time.  The GP-B experiment will have two months of preparation before calculating data for 16 months.  More images from the launch are available from:

http://www.ksc.nasa.gov/elvnew/gpb/index.htm

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View Article  CRTC Considering Extension of the Deadline for VoIP Submissions

Last week, I posted a story about major VoIP developments happening in Canada.  The CRTC (Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission) gave its initial assessment about the treatment of VoIP service providers in Canada.  Originally, the CRTC had indicated that there was an April 28th deadline for industry participants to make submissions and public consultation was planned to be held on May 19-20 in Gatineau, Quebec.

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View Article  Canadian Recording Industry Files Appeal

In what's being considered yet another battleground in the global battle of the recording industry against alleged music piracy, CRIA (the Canadian Recording Industry Association) has filed an appeal on the ruling made last month by Justice Konrad von Finckenstein.

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View Article  Next-Gen Multi-purpose Cell Phones: Coming to a Store Near You

PC World had an interesting article about what the next generation of cell phones will look like.  They will offer far more features that the current cool mobile handsets du jour that only have a built-in camera. 

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View Article  "Intermediate": A New Class of Black Holes?
Previous research about black holes had classified them in two categories: the small ones (with a mass of between 2 to 10 suns) and the very big ones (with a mass of millions or billions times that of the sun).  Small black holes typically form themselves when individual stars explode and collapse in on themselves.
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View Article  Tim Berners-Lee Wins First Millenium Technology Prize
MIT scientist Tim Berners-Lee, acclaimed as the inventor of the World Wide Web, was named the recipient of the first-ever Millenium Technology Prize.  The award of one million euros (equivalent to US$1.2 million) was bestowed by the Finnish Technology Award Foundation and it recognizes his contributions in creating a new way of sharing information among lab scientists at Switzerland's CERN Laboratory in the early 90's.

The nuclear research center, near Geneva, was the location where Tim created the first ever client browser (a point-and-click application called "WorldWideWeb").  This client incorporated many of the concepts and features incorporated in today's browsers. 

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View Article  Toshiba Sets Guinness World Record for Smallest Hard Drive

Last month, Toshiba set the record for the world's smallest hard disk drive (HDD).  In January, the Japanese vendor introduced its newest HDD model, a 0.85 inch hard drive, which is equivalent to the size of a stamp.   more »

View Article  Super-Antibody Technology: A Novel Way to Kill Bacteria and Viruses?
The current issue of New Scientist has an interesting article on cell-penetrating super-antibodies.  The article mentions the cutting edge research being done by companies such as InNexus Biotechnology (of Vancouver, BC).   more »
View Article  University of San Francisco Puts Together an Impromptu Supercomputer

A bunch of students, faculty, alumni and computer enthusiasts at large got together at a USF gym with a goal ...   more »

View Article  New Imaging Technology Allows for Earlier Cancer Detection

Researchers at the Los Alamos National Laboratory have been busy studying squid magnetronomy.  SQUID (Superconducting QUantum Interference Device) is the most sensitive known detector of magnetic flux, a sensitivity which is extremely handy for medical diagnostics.  SQUID represents the confluence of three distinct technologies: nanotech, quantum mechanics and superconductivity.   more »

View Article  Einstein's Theory of Relativity to be Tested in Space
NASA's Gravity Probe B is expected to soon begin its 16 month mission to validate two predictions made by Albert Einstein's General Theory of Relativity (1916).  The $750 million satellite is expected to be launched on Monday, April 19th at 10 AM PDT from Vanderberg Air Force Base in Southern California.  The mission will utilize four ultra-precision gyroscopes to test the theory that space and time are distorted by the presence of massive bodies.  More specifically, these gyroscopes will measure how much space and time are warped by the presence of the Earth and how Earth's rotation drags space-time around with it.
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View Article  Japanese Giants Unveil Synchronized Robots

Fujitsu, Sony and Mitsubishi showcased at the Robodex Forum (in Tokyo on Wednesday) new technology that enables distinct robots to ...   more »

View Article  CRTC's Preliminary VoIP View - A Step Back?

Earlier this month, the CRTC made public its preliminary view on VoIP.  The initial verdict is not good news for any ...   more »

View Article  Strong Semi-Conductor Performance: An Indicator of a Tech Rebound?

Intel (INTC / NASDAQ) reported on Tuesday revenue earnings for the first quarter that, while slightly lower than ...   more »

View Article  Wonders of Science: Baby Gets a Pacemaker of the Size of a Quarter

Here is a story from Drudge Report about a Florida baby who got the world's smallest pacemaker, of the size ...   more »

View Article  When Will Cool 2.5G+ Hockey Apps Make it Across the Ocean?

Lots of new cool apps were demonstrated at the Mobile Device Developments Conference held in London in October 2003 and more ...   more »

View Article  Is the Music Industry Losing a Big Opportunity to Make Money?

Another issue that is still grabbing a lot of attention is the Federal Court of Canada ruling (hat tip: David ...   more »

View Article  Proliferation of Windows CE – will CE .Net take over IP endpoints?

At the spring 2004 edition of the VON (Voice on the Net) Conference, Microsoft announced upcoming VoIP features for Windows ...   more »

View Article  Will Just More Storage Make GMail Take Off?

 

Ross Rader had a great insight into the real problem with GMail, the newest e-mail portal in the Net, to be soon introduced by the folks from Google.  In a recent post in his Random Bytes blog, Ross points out the following:

 

GMail is an email client. Google is a server company.
Hotmail is an email client. Microsoft is a client company.

 

Email is a client business.

 

But functionality, while a key criterion, is not the sole piece of the overall puzzle.  Some people might object to the fact that Google will scan the messages so that it can present targeted advertising.  But, arguably, any unencrypted e-mail message passing through several Internet mail hops could theoretically be scanned as well.  This scanning can be fully automated (like Google) or conceivably done with human intervention if some conditions are met.  David Akin mentioned in a recent article that NSA officers in locations such as Fort Meade count on a variety of tools to monitor millions of daily e-mail and phone chats every day, searching for certain traffic patterns or keywords.

 

Another key issue is that most people would prefer having the storage of the messages being done right at their hard drives instead of on the network.  1GB worth of space might be great vis-a-vis Yahoo! or Hotmail, but the fact that those messages do not physically reside at the hard drives of the users' computers could ultimately end up curtailing the uptake of GMail - many users would prefer relying upon an e-mail client such as Outlook for their own machines, and their own ISP portal for when they are away from home. 

 

Undoubtedly, some users will take advantage of GMail to save messages with large attachments.  However, also look for Yahoo! and Hotmail to raise their respective message storage limits.

   more »
View Article  Argentinean Breakthrough in Cancer Research

A group of researchers from the Department of Microbiology of the University of Buenos Aires recently made a key discovery in the ...   more »

View Article  DNA Computers

An editorial in Buzzle.com explains how DNA research can also serve as a platform for next-gen computers:


Abstract

"Human cells ...   more »
View Article  Hello, world!

Welcome to the Technology Futurist  blog, which covers a variety of topics related to disruptive technologies that can profoundly ...   more »

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